Regular season ·

Iowa beat Nebraska

No. 19 Iowa9-327
Nebraska5-724Final
Fri, Nov 29 · Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, Neb. · Crowd 89,039 · 34°BTN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 19 Iowa beat Nebraska by 3 points.

How the game turned

Iowa aheadNebraska aheadBiggest swing

Q4 0:01 Iowa 27, Nebraska 24

Iowa 100% to win

Duncan 48-yd field goal, Iowa wins it 27-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:04 · Iowa 7, Nebraska 0Iowa's win chance rose from 66% to 77%.Smith-Marsette 45-yd TD run, Iowa goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 8:54 · Iowa 17, Nebraska 10Iowa's win chance fell from 87% to 73%.Taylor-Britt return TD, cuts it to 17-10
  3. 3Q3 8:24 · Iowa 24, Nebraska 17Iowa's win chance fell from 93% to 82%.McCaffrey 39-yd TD pass to Spielman, cuts it to 24-17
  4. 4Q3 0:32 · Iowa 24, Nebraska 24Iowa's win chance fell from 79% to 60%.Mazour 9-yd TD run, ties it 24-24
  5. 5Q4 0:01 · Iowa 27, Nebraska 24Iowa's win chance rose from 65% to 100%.Duncan 48-yd field goal, Iowa wins it 27-24

Iowa's lowest chance to win was 35 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:01 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa's chance to win went from 65 percent to 99 percent when Iowa kicked a field goal.

The score went from Iowa 24, Nebraska 24 to Iowa 27, Nebraska 24.

The play: Duncan 48-yd field goal, Iowa wins it 27-24.

What happened next

  1. Iowa's next game: W 49-24 vs USC in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl, Dec 27

    28 days later
  2. Nebraska finished the 2019 season 5-7.

  3. Nebraska's first game of the 2020 season: L 17-52 at Ohio State, Oct 24, 2020

    about 11 months later
  4. The teams' next meeting after Nov 29, 2019: Iowa 26, Nebraska 20, Nov 27, 2020

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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