Regular season ·

Pittsburgh beat North Carolina

North Carolina4-627
Pittsburgh7-334Final
Thu, Nov 14 · Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pa. · Crowd 39,290 · 34°, cloudyESPN

Records are after this game.

Pittsburgh beat North Carolina by 7 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Pittsburgh aheadNorth Carolina aheadBiggest swingLow: 42%
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Q4 11:43 Pittsburgh 24, North Carolina 24

Pittsburgh 58% to win

Howell 34-yd TD pass to Newsome, ties it 24-24

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:32 · Pittsburgh 3, North Carolina 0Kessman 41-yd field goal, Pittsburgh goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 6:14 · Pittsburgh 3, North Carolina 7Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 57% to 49%.Howell 21-yd TD pass to Corrales, North Carolina goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 12:03 · Pittsburgh 10, North Carolina 7Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 48% to 59%.Pickett 2-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q4 11:43 · Pittsburgh 24, North Carolina 24Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 81% to 58%.Howell 34-yd TD pass to Newsome, ties it 24-24
  5. 5Q4 5:18 · Pittsburgh 27, North Carolina 24Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 60% to 71%.Kessman 24-yd field goal, Pittsburgh goes ahead 27-24
  6. 6Q4 0:13 · Pittsburgh 27, North Carolina 27Pittsburgh's win chance fell from 48% to 43%.Ruggles 32-yd field goal, ties it 27-27
  7. 7OT1 · Pittsburgh 34, North Carolina 27Pittsburgh's win chance rose from 54% to 64%.Pickett 3-yd TD run, Pittsburgh goes ahead 34-27

Pittsburgh's lowest chance to win was 42 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 11:43 left in the 4th quarter, North Carolina's chance to win went from 19 percent to 42 percent when North Carolina scored a touchdown.

The score went from Pittsburgh 24, North Carolina 17 to Pittsburgh 24, North Carolina 24.

The play: Howell 34-yd TD pass to Newsome, ties it 24-24.

It was Pittsburgh's first win over North Carolina since the 2009 season, after 6 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. Pittsburgh's next game: L 0-28 at Virginia Tech, Nov 23

    9 days later

  2. North Carolina's next game: W 56-7 vs Mercer, Nov 23

    9 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 14, 2019: Pittsburgh 30, North Carolina 23, Nov 11, 2021

    about 24 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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