Regular season ·
North Carolina beat NC State
Records are after this game.
North Carolina beat NC State by 31 points.
How the game turned
Q3 10:07 North Carolina 13, NC State 10
North Carolina 79% to win
Williams 26-yd TD run, North Carolina goes ahead 13-10
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:59 · North Carolina 0, NC State 3North Carolina's win chance fell from 74% to 71%.Dunn 30-yd field goal, NC State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 4:13 · North Carolina 6, NC State 3North Carolina's win chance rose from 74% to 75%.Ruggles 32-yd field goal, North Carolina goes ahead 6-3
- 3Q2 1:25 · North Carolina 6, NC State 10North Carolina's win chance fell from 67% to 65%.Leary 39-yd TD pass to Hines, NC State goes ahead 10-6
- 4Q3 10:07 · North Carolina 13, NC State 10North Carolina's win chance rose from 64% to 79%.Williams 26-yd TD run, North Carolina goes ahead 13-10
North Carolina's lowest chance to win was 42 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 10:07 left in the 3rd quarter, North Carolina's chance to win went from 64 percent to 79 percent when North Carolina scored a touchdown.
The score went from North Carolina 6, NC State 10 to North Carolina 13, NC State 10.
The play: Williams 26-yd TD run, North Carolina goes ahead 13-10.
It was North Carolina's first win over NC State since the 2015 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
North Carolina's next game: W 55-13 vs Temple in the Military Bowl, Dec 27
27 days laterNC State finished the 2019 season 4-8.
NC State's first game of the 2020 season: W 45-42 vs Wake Forest, Sep 19, 2020
about 10 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 30, 2019: North Carolina 48, NC State 21, Oct 24, 2020
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.