Regular season ·

Arizona State beat California

Arizona State4-124
No. 15 California4-117Final
Fri, Sep 27 · California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, Calif. · Crowd 47,532 · 59°, fairESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Arizona State beat No. 15 California by 7 points.

California was No. 15 in the AP poll before the game; Arizona State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Arizona State aheadCalifornia aheadBiggest swingLow: 26%
12345

Q4 4:41 Arizona State 21, California 17

Arizona State 77% to win

Benjamin 3-yd TD run, Arizona State goes ahead 21-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:22 · Arizona State 7, California 0Arizona State's win chance rose from 47% to 53%.Benjamin 11-yd TD run, Arizona State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 9:16 · Arizona State 7, California 14Arizona State's win chance fell from 36% to 31%.Brown 1-yd TD run, California goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 6:01 · Arizona State 14, California 14Arizona State's win chance rose from 27% to 44%.Benjamin 4-yd TD run, ties it 14-14
  4. 4Q4 10:50 · Arizona State 14, California 17Arizona State's win chance fell from 48% to 33%.Thomas 47-yd field goal, California goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q4 4:41 · Arizona State 21, California 17Arizona State's win chance rose from 40% to 77%.Benjamin 3-yd TD run, Arizona State goes ahead 21-17

Arizona State's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 4:41 left in the 4th quarter, Arizona State's chance to win went from 40 percent to 77 percent when Arizona State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Arizona State 14, California 17 to Arizona State 21, California 17.

The play: Benjamin 3-yd TD run, Arizona State goes ahead 21-17.

What happened next

  1. California was No. 15 before the game and out of the next AP poll.

  2. California's next game: L 7-17 at Oregon, Oct 5

    8 days later

  3. Arizona State's next game: W 38-34 vs Washington State, Oct 12

    15 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Sep 27, 2019: California 24, Arizona State 21, Sep 30, 2023

    about 4 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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