Regular season ·

Marshall beat Florida International

Florida International6-627
Marshall8-430Final
Sat, Nov 30 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, W.Va. · Crowd 18,596 · 41°, light rainCBS Sports Network

Records are after this game.

Marshall beat Florida International by 3 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Marshall aheadFlorida International aheadBiggest swingLow: 24%

OT1 Marshall 30, Florida International 27

Marshall 100% to win

Knox 1-yd TD run, Marshall wins it 30-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 13:52 · Marshall 3, Florida International 0Rohrwasser 38-yd field goal, Marshall goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 11:29 · Marshall 3, Florida International 7Marshall's win chance fell from 71% to 59%.Maxwell 1-yd TD run, Florida International goes ahead 7-3
  3. 3Q2 7:21 · Marshall 10, Florida International 7Marshall's win chance rose from 64% to 71%.Gaines 20-yd TD run, Marshall goes ahead 10-7
  4. 4Q4 14:42 · Marshall 17, Florida International 21Marshall's win chance fell from 76% to 40%.Morgan 22-yd TD pass to Gaiter, Florida International goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q4 0:21 · Marshall 24, Florida International 24Marshall's win chance fell from 71% to 63%.Borregales 41-yd field goal, ties it 24-24
  6. 6OT1 · Marshall 24, Florida International 27Marshall's win chance fell from 59% to 42%.Borregales 35-yd field goal, Florida International goes ahead 27-24
  7. 7OT1 · Marshall 30, Florida International 27Marshall's win chance rose from 42% to 100%.Knox 1-yd TD run, Marshall wins it 30-27

Marshall's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Marshall's chance to win went from 42 percent to 99 percent when Marshall scored a touchdown.

The score went from Marshall 24, Florida International 27 to Marshall 30, Florida International 27.

The play: Knox 1-yd TD run, Marshall wins it 30-27.

What happened next

  1. Florida International's next game: L 26-34 vs Arkansas State in the Camellia Bowl, Dec 21

    21 days later
  2. Marshall's next game: L 25-48 vs UCF in the Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl, Dec 23

    23 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 30, 2019: Marshall 38, Florida International 0, Oct 30, 2021

    about 23 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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