Regular season ·
Air Force beat Army
Records are after this game.
Air Force beat Army by 4 points.
How the game turned
Q3 2:22 Air Force 10, Army 13
Air Force 62% to win
Laws 87-yd TD pass to Harrison, Army goes ahead 13-10
Big moments
- 1Q2 8:08 · Air Force 3, Army 0Koehnke 20-yd field goal, Air Force goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 1:17 · Air Force 3, Army 6Laws 2-yd TD run, Army goes ahead 6-3
- 3Q3 2:35 · Air Force 10, Army 6Air Force's win chance rose from 64% to 86%.Jackson 3-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 10-6
- 4Q3 2:22 · Air Force 10, Army 13Air Force's win chance fell from 86% to 62%.Laws 87-yd TD pass to Harrison, Army goes ahead 13-10
- 5Q4 13:08 · Air Force 17, Army 13Air Force's win chance rose from 76% to 85%.Stoner 5-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 17-13
Air Force was never below a 53 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 2:22 left in the 3rd quarter, Army's chance to win went from 14 percent to 38 percent when Army scored a touchdown.
The score went from Air Force 10, Army 6 to Air Force 10, Army 13.
The play: Laws 87-yd TD pass to Harrison, Army goes ahead 13-10.
What happened next
Army's next game: W 63-7 vs Massachusetts, Nov 9
7 days laterAir Force's next game: W 38-21 at Colorado State, Nov 16
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2019: Army 10, Air Force 7, Dec 19, 2020
about 14 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.