Regular season ·

Navy beat Tulane

Tulane5-338
Navy6-141Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Md. · Crowd 31,118 · 64°, overcastCBS Sports Network

Records are after this game.

Navy beat Tulane by 3 points.

How the game turned

Navy aheadTulane aheadBiggest swingLow: 40%
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Q4 0:00 Navy 41, Tulane 38

Navy 100% to win

Nichols 48-yd field goal, Navy wins it 41-38

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 11:49 · Navy 7, Tulane 0Navy's win chance rose from 66% to 76%.Carothers 52-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 1:59 · Navy 31, Tulane 28Navy's win chance fell from 83% to 70%.McMillan 2-yd TD pass to Booker, cuts it to 31-28
  3. 3Q4 5:23 · Navy 38, Tulane 31Navy's win chance rose from 68% to 87%.Carothers 15-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 38-31
  4. 4Q4 1:01 · Navy 38, Tulane 38Navy's win chance fell from 79% to 53%.McMillan 1-yd TD run, ties it 38-38
  5. 5Q4 0:00 · Navy 41, Tulane 38Navy's win chance rose from 72% to 100%.Nichols 48-yd field goal, Navy wins it 41-38

Navy's lowest chance to win was 40 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Navy's chance to win went from 72 percent to 99 percent when Navy kicked a field goal.

The score went from Navy 38, Tulane 38 to Navy 41, Tulane 38.

The play: Nichols 48-yd field goal, Navy wins it 41-38.

What happened next

  1. Navy's next game: W 56-10 at UConn, Nov 1

    6 days later

  2. Tulane's next game: W 38-26 vs Tulsa, Nov 2

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2019: Navy 27, Tulane 24, Sep 19, 2020

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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