Regular season ·

Cincinnati beat East Carolina

No. 17 Cincinnati7-146
East Carolina3-643Final
Sat, Nov 2 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, N.C. · Crowd 32,276 · 54°CBS Sports Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 17 Cincinnati beat East Carolina by 3 points.

How the game turned

Cincinnati aheadEast Carolina aheadLow: 24%
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Q4 4:38 Cincinnati 43, East Carolina 40

Cincinnati 79% to win

Gardner return TD, two-point try good, Cincinnati goes ahead 43-40

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:20 · Cincinnati 7, East Carolina 0Cincinnati's win chance rose from 93% to 94%.Warren 1-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 8:19 · Cincinnati 14, East Carolina 7Cincinnati's win chance rose from 92% to 96%.Doaks 2-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q1 0:19 · Cincinnati 21, East Carolina 14Cincinnati's win chance rose from 89% to 95%.Warren 1-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q2 3:10 · Cincinnati 21, East Carolina 28Cincinnati's win chance fell from 81% to 79%.Ahlers 3-yd TD pass to Hatfield, East Carolina goes ahead 28-21
  5. 5Q4 4:38 · Cincinnati 43, East Carolina 40Cincinnati's win chance rose from 35% to 79%.Gardner return TD, two-point try good, Cincinnati goes ahead 43-40
  6. 6Q4 1:10 · Cincinnati 43, East Carolina 43Cincinnati's win chance fell from 74% to 57%.Verity 27-yd field goal, ties it 43-43
  7. 7Q4 0:00 · Cincinnati 46, East Carolina 43Cincinnati's win chance rose from 63% to 100%.Crosa 32-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 46-43

Cincinnati's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Cincinnati took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Cincinnati 46, East Carolina 43.

What happened next

  1. Cincinnati's next game: W 48-3 vs UConn, Nov 9

    7 days later

  2. East Carolina's next game: L 51-59 at SMU, Nov 9

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 2, 2019: Cincinnati 55, East Carolina 17, Nov 13, 2020

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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