Regular season ·
Tulsa beat UCF
Records are after this game.
Tulsa had a 3 percent chance to win with 11:31 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 34-31, November 8, 2019.
How the game turned
Q4 9:14 Tulsa 31, UCF 31
Tulsa 47% to win
Boomer 17-yd TD pass to Crawford, ties it 31-31
Big moments
- 1Q1 6:30 · Tulsa 7, UCF 0Tulsa's win chance rose from 24% to 29%.Brooks 1-yd TD run, Tulsa goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 4:23 · Tulsa 7, UCF 7Tulsa's win chance fell from 37% to 18%.Thompson 1-yd TD run, ties it 7-7
- 3Q1 1:32 · Tulsa 7, UCF 14Tulsa's win chance fell from 19% to 10%.Anderson 2-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 14-7
- 4Q4 9:14 · Tulsa 31, UCF 31Tulsa's win chance rose from 7% to 47%.Boomer 17-yd TD pass to Crawford, ties it 31-31
- 5Q4 5:09 · Tulsa 34, UCF 31Tulsa's win chance rose from 38% to 62%.Rainey 23-yd field goal, Tulsa goes ahead 34-31
Tulsa's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 9:14 left in the 4th quarter, Tulsa's chance to win went from 7 percent to 47 percent when Tulsa scored a touchdown.
The score went from Tulsa 24, UCF 31 to Tulsa 31, UCF 31.
The play: Boomer 17-yd TD pass to Crawford, ties it 31-31.
What happened next
Tulsa's next game: L 14-24 vs Houston, Nov 23
15 days laterUCF's next game: W 34-31 at Tulane, Nov 23
15 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 8, 2019: Tulsa 34, UCF 26, Oct 3, 2020
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.