Regular season ·
Cincinnati beat South Florida
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 17 Cincinnati beat South Florida by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Cincinnati 20, South Florida 17
Cincinnati 100% to win
Crosa 37-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 20-17
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:25 · Cincinnati 0, South Florida 7Cincinnati's win chance fell from 81% to 70%.Sands 4-yd TD run, South Florida goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 (no clock) · Cincinnati 0, South Florida 10Cincinnati's win chance fell from 40% to 24%.Ridder sacked, fumbles
- 3Q4 10:25 · Cincinnati 17, South Florida 17Cincinnati's win chance rose from 45% to 66%.Warren 2-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
- 4Q4 0:00 · Cincinnati 20, South Florida 17Cincinnati's win chance rose from 76% to 100%.Crosa 37-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 20-17
Cincinnati's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Cincinnati's chance to win went from 76 percent to 99 percent when Cincinnati kicked a field goal.
The score went from Cincinnati 17, South Florida 17 to Cincinnati 20, South Florida 17.
The play: Crosa 37-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 20-17.
What happened next
Cincinnati's next game: W 15-13 vs Temple, Nov 23
7 days laterSouth Florida's next game: L 10-49 vs Memphis, Nov 23
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 16, 2019: Cincinnati 28, South Florida 7, Oct 3, 2020
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.