Regular season ·

Northern Illinois beat Ohio

Northern Illinois2-439
Ohio2-436Final
Sat, Oct 12 · Peden Stadium, Athens, Ohio · Crowd 18,019 · 55°ESPN+

Records are after this game.

Northern Illinois had a 8 percent chance to win with 13:42 left in the 3rd quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 39-36, October 12, 2019.

How the game turned

Northern Illinois aheadOhio aheadLow: 8%
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Q3 3:13 Northern Illinois 22, Ohio 21

Northern Illinois 45% to win

Harbison 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Northern Illinois goes ahead 22-21

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:53 · Northern Illinois 7, Ohio 0Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 38% to 55%.Buirge return TD, blocked, Northern Illinois goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 5:49 · Northern Illinois 10, Ohio 7Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 44% to 51%.Richardson 51-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 12:14 · Northern Illinois 10, Ohio 14Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 54% to 35%.Knock 2-yd TD pass to Rourke, Ohio goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q3 3:13 · Northern Illinois 22, Ohio 21Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 30% to 45%.Harbison 1-yd TD run, two-point try fails, Northern Illinois goes ahead 22-21
  5. 5Q4 5:15 · Northern Illinois 36, Ohio 29Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 40% to 86%.Harbison 3-yd TD run, Northern Illinois goes ahead 36-29
  6. 6Q4 3:38 · Northern Illinois 36, Ohio 36Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 88% to 49%.Rourke 47-yd TD pass to Hooks, ties it 36-36
  7. 7Q4 0:00 · Northern Illinois 39, Ohio 36Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 67% to 100%.Richardson 37-yd field goal, Northern Illinois wins it 39-36

Northern Illinois's lowest chance to win was 8 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Northern Illinois took the lead for good with 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Northern Illinois 39, Ohio 36.

What happened next

  1. Northern Illinois's next game: L 24-27 at Miami (OH), Oct 19

    7 days later

  2. Ohio's next game: W 45-38 vs Kent State, Oct 19

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 12, 2019: Ohio 24, Northern Illinois 17, Oct 22, 2022

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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