Regular season ·
Bowling Green beat Toledo
Records are after this game.
Bowling Green beat Toledo by 13 points.
How the game turned
Q3 (no clock) Bowling Green 17, Toledo 7
Bowling Green 51% to win
Seymour run for a 3-yd loss, turnover on downs
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:09 · Bowling Green 3, Toledo 0Needham 32-yd field goal, Bowling Green goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 7:35 · Bowling Green 10, Toledo 0Bowling Green's win chance rose from 4% to 17%.Loy 66-yd TD pass to Denley, Bowling Green leads 10-0
- 3Q2 7:52 · Bowling Green 17, Toledo 7Bowling Green's win chance rose from 12% to 27%.Loy 15-yd TD run, Bowling Green leads 17-7
- 4Q3 (no clock) · Bowling Green 17, Toledo 7Bowling Green's win chance rose from 32% to 51%.Seymour run for a 3-yd loss, turnover on downs
- 5Q3 2:44 · Bowling Green 20, Toledo 7Bowling Green's win chance rose from 52% to 68%.Needham 26-yd field goal, Bowling Green leads 20-7
Bowling Green's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the 3rd quarter, Bowling Green's chance to win went from 32 percent to 50 percent on a failed fourth down.
The score stayed Bowling Green 17, Toledo 7.
The play: Toledo on 4th down, Seymour run for a 3-yd loss.
It was Bowling Green's first win over Toledo since the 2009 season, after 9 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Bowling Green's next game: L 20-38 vs Central Michigan, Oct 19
7 days laterToledo's next game: L 14-52 at Ball State, Oct 19
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 12, 2019: Toledo 38, Bowling Green 3, Nov 4, 2020
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.