Regular season ·

Toledo beat Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan4-434
Toledo5-337Final
Sat, Oct 26 · Glass Bowl, Toledo, Ohio · Crowd 18,061 · 52°, rainESPN+

Records are after this game.

Toledo beat Eastern Michigan by 3 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Toledo aheadEastern Michigan aheadBiggest swing

OT1 Toledo 37, Eastern Michigan 34

Toledo 100% to win

Peters 15-yd TD pass to Rosi, Toledo wins it 37-34

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 6:54 · Toledo 7, Eastern Michigan 0Toledo's win chance rose from 65% to 72%.Koback 5-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 13:38 · Toledo 16, Eastern Michigan 10Seymour 7-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 16-10
  3. 3Q4 2:35 · Toledo 31, Eastern Michigan 31Toledo's win chance fell from 83% to 42%.Vann 26-yd TD run, ties it 31-31
  4. 4OT1 · Toledo 31, Eastern Michigan 34Toledo's win chance fell from 49% to 35%.Ryland 24-yd field goal, Eastern Michigan goes ahead 34-31
  5. 5OT1 · Toledo 37, Eastern Michigan 34Toledo's win chance rose from 38% to 100%.Peters 15-yd TD pass to Rosi, Toledo wins it 37-34

Toledo's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Toledo's chance to win went from 37 percent to 99 percent when Toledo scored a touchdown.

The score went from Toledo 31, Eastern Michigan 34 to Toledo 37, Eastern Michigan 34.

The play: Peters 15-yd TD pass to Rosi, Toledo wins it 37-34.

What happened next

  1. Eastern Michigan's next game: L 14-43 vs Buffalo, Nov 2

    7 days later
  2. Toledo's next game: W 35-33 vs Kent State, Nov 5

    10 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 26, 2019: Toledo 45, Eastern Michigan 28, Nov 18, 2020

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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