Regular season ·

Miami (OH) beat Ohio

Miami (OH)5-424
Ohio4-521Final
Wed, Nov 6 · Peden Stadium, Athens, Ohio · Crowd 20,589 · 47°ESPN2

Records are after this game.

Miami (OH) beat Ohio by 3 points.

How the game turned

Miami (OH) aheadOhio aheadBiggest swingLow: 22%

Q4 12:52 Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 14

Miami (OH) 80% to win

Bester 7-yd TD run, Miami (OH) goes ahead 21-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 9:59 · Miami (OH) 7, Ohio 0Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 43% to 56%.Bester 45-yd TD run, Miami (OH) goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 9:43 · Miami (OH) 14, Ohio 7Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 48% to 70%.Gabbert 21-yd TD pass to Sorenson, Miami (OH) goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q4 12:52 · Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 14Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 56% to 80%.Bester 7-yd TD run, Miami (OH) goes ahead 21-14
  4. 4Q4 8:58 · Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 21Miami (OH)'s win chance fell from 70% to 51%.Rourke 9-yd TD run, ties it 21-21
  5. 5Q4 3:48 · Miami (OH) 24, Ohio 21Miami (OH)'s win chance rose from 46% to 63%.Sloman 53-yd field goal, Miami (OH) goes ahead 24-21

Miami (OH)'s lowest chance to win was 22 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 12:52 left in the 4th quarter, Miami (OH)'s chance to win went from 56 percent to 80 percent when Miami (OH) scored a touchdown.

The score went from Miami (OH) 14, Ohio 14 to Miami (OH) 21, Ohio 14.

The play: Bester 7-yd TD run, Miami (OH) goes ahead 21-14.

What happened next

  1. Ohio's next game: L 34-37 vs Western Michigan, Nov 12

    6 days later
  2. Miami (OH)'s next game: W 44-3 vs Bowling Green, Nov 13

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 6, 2019: Ohio 35, Miami (OH) 33, Nov 2, 2021

    about 24 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·