Rose Bowl Game ·

Rose Bowl Game

ROSE BOWL GAME PRESENTED BY NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL
No. 7 Oregon12-228
No. 11 Wisconsin10-427Final
Wed, Jan 1 · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif. (neutral site) · Crowd 90,462 · 66°ESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 7 Oregon beat No. 11 Wisconsin by 1 point, the Rose Bowl Game.

It was played at a neutral site: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA.

How the game turned

Oregon aheadWisconsin aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 7:41 Oregon 28, Wisconsin 27

Oregon 52% to win

Herbert 30-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 28-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 9:53 · Oregon 7, Wisconsin 0Herbert 4-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q1 8:05 · Oregon 7, Wisconsin 10Larsh 44-yd field goal, Wisconsin goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q2 3:16 · Oregon 14, Wisconsin 10Oregon's win chance rose from 45% to 55%.Herbert 5-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q2 0:11 · Oregon 14, Wisconsin 17Oregon's win chance fell from 51% to 43%.Coan 11-yd TD pass to Cephus, Wisconsin goes ahead 17-14
  5. 5Q3 4:53 · Oregon 21, Wisconsin 24Oregon's win chance fell from 58% to 34%.Stokke 2-yd TD run, Wisconsin goes ahead 24-21
  6. 6Q4 7:41 · Oregon 28, Wisconsin 27Oregon's win chance rose from 19% to 52%.Herbert 30-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 28-27

Oregon's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 7:41 left in the 4th quarter, Oregon's chance to win went from 19 percent to 52 percent when Oregon scored a touchdown.

The score went from Oregon 21, Wisconsin 27 to Oregon 28, Wisconsin 27.

The play: Herbert 30-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 28-27.

What happened next

  1. Oregon finished the 2019 season 12-2, No. 7 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Wisconsin finished the 2019 season 10-4, No. 11 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  3. Wisconsin's first game of the 2020 season: W 45-7 vs Illinois, Oct 23, 2020

    about 10 months later

  4. Oregon's first game of the 2020 season: W 35-14 vs Stanford, Nov 7, 2020

    about 10 months later

  5. The teams' next meeting after Jan 1, 2020: Oregon 16, Wisconsin 13, Nov 16, 2024

    about 5 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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