Regular season ·
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee
Records are after this game.
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 6:04 Western Kentucky 20, Middle Tennessee 10
Western Kentucky 94% to win
Pigrome 11-yd TD pass to Simon, Western Kentucky leads 20-10
Big moments
- 1Q2 14:09 · Western Kentucky 3, Middle Tennessee 0Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 69% to 72%.Narveson 47-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 7:51 · Western Kentucky 3, Middle Tennessee 7Western Kentucky's win chance fell from 67% to 59%.O'Hara 1-yd TD run, Middle Tennessee goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q3 3:26 · Western Kentucky 13, Middle Tennessee 10Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 68% to 80%.Narveson 53-yd field goal, Western Kentucky goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q4 6:04 · Western Kentucky 20, Middle Tennessee 10Western Kentucky's win chance rose from 79% to 94%.Pigrome 11-yd TD pass to Simon, Western Kentucky leads 20-10
Western Kentucky's lowest chance to win was 45 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 6:04 left in the 4th quarter, Western Kentucky's chance to win went from 79 percent to 94 percent when Western Kentucky scored a touchdown.
The score went from Western Kentucky 13, Middle Tennessee 10 to Western Kentucky 20, Middle Tennessee 10.
The play: Pigrome 11-yd TD pass to Simon, Western Kentucky leads 20-10.
What happened next
Western Kentucky's next game: L 14-38 vs Marshall, Oct 10
7 days laterMiddle Tennessee's next game: W 31-28 at Florida International, Oct 10
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 3, 2020: Western Kentucky 48, Middle Tennessee 21, Nov 6, 2021
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.