Regular season ·

Louisiana beat Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern1-118
Louisiana3-020Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Cajun Field, Lafayette, La. · Crowd 5,585 · 78°, light drizzleESPN2

Records are after this game.

Louisiana beat Georgia Southern by 2 points.

How the game turned

Louisiana aheadGeorgia Southern aheadBiggest swingLow: 49%

Q4 0:54 Louisiana 17, Georgia Southern 18

Louisiana 49% to win

Werts 28-yd TD pass to Hood, two-point try good, Georgia Southern goes ahead 18-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 14:53 · Louisiana 0, Georgia Southern 7Louisiana's win chance fell from 64% to 61%.King 2-yd TD run
  2. 2Q3 5:49 · Louisiana 7, Georgia Southern 10Louisiana's win chance fell from 59% to 55%.Raynor 27-yd field goal, Georgia Southern goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q4 10:34 · Louisiana 17, Georgia Southern 10Louisiana's win chance rose from 69% to 88%.Lewis 27-yd TD pass to Rogers, Louisiana goes ahead 17-10
  4. 4Q4 0:54 · Louisiana 17, Georgia Southern 18Louisiana's win chance fell from 82% to 49%.Werts 28-yd TD pass to Hood, two-point try good, Georgia Southern goes ahead 18-17
  5. 5Q4 0:00 · Louisiana 20, Georgia Southern 18Louisiana's win chance rose from 80% to 100%.Snyder 53-yd field goal, Louisiana wins it 20-18

Louisiana's lowest chance to win was 49 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:54 left in the 4th quarter, Georgia Southern's chance to win went from 18 percent to 51 percent when Georgia Southern scored a touchdown.

The score went from Louisiana 17, Georgia Southern 10 to Louisiana 17, Georgia Southern 18.

The play: Werts 28-yd TD pass to Hood, two-point try good, Georgia Southern goes ahead 18-17.

What happened next

  1. Georgia Southern's next game: W 35-30 at UL Monroe, Oct 3

    7 days later
  2. Louisiana's next game: L 27-30 vs Coastal Carolina, Oct 14

    18 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 26, 2020: Louisiana 28, Georgia Southern 20, Sep 25, 2021

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·