Regular season ·

App State beat Georgia Southern

App State8-334
Georgia Southern7-526Final
Sat, Dec 12 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Ga. · Crowd 6,228 · 65°, mainly clearESPN

Records are after this game.

App State beat Georgia Southern by 8 points.

How the game turned

App State aheadGeorgia Southern aheadBiggest swing

Q3 (no clock) App State 14, Georgia Southern 17

App State 45% to win

Anthony Beck II punt for 34 yds, Malik Williams returns for no gain, Williams fumbled, recovered by Jackson

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 1:59 · App State 0, Georgia Southern 7App State's win chance fell from 71% to 56%.Spaulding return TD, Georgia Southern goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 9:22 · App State 0, Georgia Southern 14App State's win chance fell from 52% to 34%.Tomlin 14-yd TD run, Georgia Southern leads 14-0
  3. 3Q3 (no clock) · App State 14, Georgia Southern 17App State's win chance rose from 48% to 62%.Mosley sacked, fumbles
  4. 4Q4 14:51 · App State 17, Georgia Southern 20App State's win chance fell from 61% to 43%.Raynor 47-yd field goal, Georgia Southern goes ahead 20-17
  5. 5Q4 5:23 · App State 31, Georgia Southern 26App State's win chance fell from 96% to 73%.Mosley 78-yd TD pass to Carter, two-point try fails, cuts it to 31-26

App State's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the 3rd quarter, Georgia Southern's chance to win went from 29 percent to 55 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed App State 14, Georgia Southern 17.

What happened next

  1. App State's next game: W 56-28 vs North Texas in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, Dec 21

    9 days later
  2. Georgia Southern's next game: W 38-3 vs Louisiana Tech in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, Dec 23

    11 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Dec 12, 2020: App State 27, Georgia Southern 3, Nov 27, 2021

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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