Regular season ·
NC State beat Liberty
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
NC State beat No. 21 Liberty by 1 point.
Liberty was No. 21 in the AP poll before the game; NC State was not ranked.
The announced crowd was 4,032, in the 2020 season.
How the game turned
Q4 6:53 NC State 15, Liberty 14
NC State 61% to win
Knight 4-yd TD run, two-point try fails, NC State goes ahead 15-14
Big moments
- 1Q2 6:56 · NC State 7, Liberty 0NC State's win chance rose from 69% to 75%.Knight 19-yd TD run, NC State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q3 7:11 · NC State 7, Liberty 14NC State's win chance fell from 50% to 26%.Willis 6-yd TD pass to Jackson, Liberty goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q4 6:53 · NC State 15, Liberty 14NC State's win chance rose from 26% to 61%.Knight 4-yd TD run, two-point try fails, NC State goes ahead 15-14
- 4Q4 (no clock) · NC State 15, Liberty 14NC State's win chance rose from 33% to 47%.Barbir 39-yd field goal blocked
NC State's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 6:53 left in the 4th quarter, NC State's chance to win went from 26 percent to 61 percent when NC State scored a touchdown.
The score went from NC State 9, Liberty 14 to NC State 15, Liberty 14.
The play: Knight 4-yd TD run, two-point try fails, NC State goes ahead 15-14.
What happened next
Liberty's next game: W 45-0 vs Massachusetts, Nov 27
6 days laterNC State's next game: W 36-29 at Syracuse, Nov 28
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.