Regular season ·

TCU beat Texas

TCU1-133
No. 9 Texas2-131Final
Sat, Oct 3 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas · Crowd 17,753 · 74°, clearFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

TCU beat No. 9 Texas by 2 points.

Texas was No. 9 in the AP poll before the game; TCU was not ranked.

How the game turned

TCU aheadTexas aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 4:01 TCU 33, Texas 29

TCU 74% to win

Duggan 26-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 33-29

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:01 · TCU 7, Texas 0TCU's win chance rose from 33% to 44%.Barlow 1-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 14:22 · TCU 14, Texas 7TCU's win chance rose from 36% to 47%.Duggan 5-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 1:28 · TCU 17, Texas 14Kell 27-yd field goal, TCU goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 9:56 · TCU 26, Texas 29TCU's win chance fell from 56% to 27%.Ehlinger 7-yd TD pass to Epps, two-point try good, Texas goes ahead 29-26
  5. 5Q4 4:01 · TCU 33, Texas 29TCU's win chance rose from 36% to 74%.Duggan 26-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 33-29

TCU's lowest chance to win was 16 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 4:01 left in the 4th quarter, TCU's chance to win went from 36 percent to 74 percent when TCU scored a touchdown.

The score went from TCU 26, Texas 29 to TCU 33, Texas 29.

The play: Duggan 26-yd TD run, TCU goes ahead 33-29.

What happened next

  1. Texas went from No. 9 to No. 22 in the next AP poll.

  2. TCU's next game: L 14-21 vs Kansas State, Oct 10

    7 days later

  3. Texas's next game: L 45-53 vs Oklahoma, Oct 10

    7 days later

  4. The teams' next meeting after Oct 3, 2020: Texas 32, TCU 27, Oct 2, 2021

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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