Regular season ·
Arkansas State beat Kansas State
Records are after this game.
Arkansas State beat Kansas State by 4 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:38 Arkansas State 35, Kansas State 31
Arkansas State 75% to win
Hatcher 17-yd TD pass to Adams, Arkansas State goes ahead 35-31
Big moments
- 1Q1 13:24 · Arkansas State 0, Kansas State 7Thompson 17-yd TD pass to Brooks, Kansas State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 13:29 · Arkansas State 7, Kansas State 14Arkansas State's win chance fell from 21% to 14%.Vaughn 3-yd TD run, Kansas State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q4 11:49 · Arkansas State 28, Kansas State 21Arkansas State's win chance rose from 39% to 67%.Bonner 5-yd TD pass to Adams, Arkansas State goes ahead 28-21
- 4Q4 6:35 · Arkansas State 28, Kansas State 28Arkansas State's win chance fell from 75% to 42%.Trotter 5-yd TD run, ties it 28-28
- 5Q4 2:30 · Arkansas State 28, Kansas State 31Arkansas State's win chance fell from 47% to 30%.Lynch 35-yd field goal, Kansas State goes ahead 31-28
- 6Q4 0:38 · Arkansas State 35, Kansas State 31Arkansas State's win chance rose from 35% to 75%.Hatcher 17-yd TD pass to Adams, Arkansas State goes ahead 35-31
Arkansas State's lowest chance to win was 5 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:38 left in the 4th quarter, Arkansas State's chance to win went from 35 percent to 75 percent when Arkansas State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Arkansas State 28, Kansas State 31 to Arkansas State 35, Kansas State 31.
The play: Hatcher 17-yd TD pass to Adams, Arkansas State goes ahead 35-31.
What happened next
Kansas State's next game: W 38-35 at Oklahoma, Sep 26
14 days laterArkansas State's next game: L 23-52 at Coastal Carolina, Oct 3
21 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.