Regular season ·

Auburn beat Arkansas

Arkansas1-228
No. 13 Auburn2-130Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Ala. · Crowd 17,490 · 79°, heavy drizzleSEC Network

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 13 Auburn beat Arkansas by 2 points.

How the game turned

Auburn aheadArkansas aheadBiggest swing
123

Q4 0:07 Auburn 30, Arkansas 28

Auburn 100% to win

Carlson 39-yd field goal, Auburn wins it 30-28

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 4:32 · Auburn 7, Arkansas 0Auburn's win chance rose from 85% to 86%.George Caratan punt blocked by Jordyn Peters for a TD
  2. 2Q4 5:29 · Auburn 27, Arkansas 28Auburn's win chance fell from 90% to 63%.Franks 30-yd TD pass to Warren, Arkansas goes ahead 28-27
  3. 3Q4 0:07 · Auburn 30, Arkansas 28Auburn's win chance rose from 56% to 100%.Carlson 39-yd field goal, Auburn wins it 30-28

Auburn's lowest chance to win was 36 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:07 left in the 4th quarter, Auburn's chance to win went from 56 percent to 99 percent when Auburn kicked a field goal.

The score went from Auburn 27, Arkansas 28 to Auburn 30, Arkansas 28.

The play: Carlson 39-yd field goal, Auburn wins it 30-28.

What happened next

  1. Auburn's next game: L 22-30 at South Carolina, Oct 17

    7 days later

  2. Arkansas's next game: W 33-21 vs Ole Miss, Oct 17

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 10, 2020: Auburn 38, Arkansas 23, Oct 16, 2021

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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