Regular season ·
LSU beat Arkansas
Records are after this game.
LSU beat Arkansas by 3 points.
How the game turned
Q4 3:59 LSU 27, Arkansas 24
LSU 71% to win
Finley 13-yd TD pass to Jenkins, LSU goes ahead 27-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 7:37 · LSU 3, Arkansas 0LSU's win chance rose from 59% to 62%.York 49-yd field goal, LSU goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 3:40 · LSU 3, Arkansas 7LSU's win chance fell from 58% to 47%.Franks 65-yd TD pass to Burks, Arkansas goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q2 13:54 · LSU 10, Arkansas 7LSU's win chance rose from 47% to 57%.Finley 30-yd TD pass to McMath, LSU goes ahead 10-7
- 4Q3 1:04 · LSU 20, Arkansas 21LSU's win chance fell from 72% to 44%.Smith 1-yd TD run, Arkansas goes ahead 21-20
- 5Q4 3:59 · LSU 27, Arkansas 24LSU's win chance rose from 37% to 71%.Finley 13-yd TD pass to Jenkins, LSU goes ahead 27-24
LSU's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:59 left in the 4th quarter, LSU's chance to win went from 37 percent to 71 percent when LSU scored a touchdown.
The score went from LSU 20, Arkansas 24 to LSU 27, Arkansas 24.
The play: Finley 13-yd TD pass to Jenkins, LSU goes ahead 27-24.
What happened next
LSU's next game: L 7-20 at Texas A&M, Nov 28
7 days laterArkansas's next game: L 48-50 at Missouri, Dec 5
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 21, 2020: Arkansas 16, LSU 13, Nov 13, 2021
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.