Regular season ·

Ole Miss beat Mississippi State

Mississippi State2-624
Ole Miss4-431Final
Sat, Nov 28 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Miss. · Crowd 16,218 · 57°, overcastSEC Network

Records are after this game.

Ole Miss beat Mississippi State by 7 points.

How the game turned

Ole Miss aheadMississippi State aheadBiggest swing

Q1 (no clock) Ole Miss 7, Mississippi State 0

Ole Miss 92% to win

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 3 yds, Williams fumbled, forced by Knight, recovered by Leonard

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 (no clock) · Ole Miss 0, Mississippi State 0Ole Miss's win chance fell from 80% to 67%.Corral incomplete to Sanders, turnover on downs
  2. 2Q1 6:03 · Ole Miss 7, Mississippi State 0Ole Miss's win chance rose from 80% to 83%.Corral 48-yd TD pass to Drummond, Ole Miss goes ahead 7-0
  3. 3Q4 7:51 · Ole Miss 24, Mississippi State 21Ole Miss's win chance fell from 90% to 75%.Rogers 7-yd TD pass to Williams, cuts it to 24-21

Ole Miss was never below a 67 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In the 1st quarter, Ole Miss's chance to win went from 76 percent to 91 percent on a fumble.

The score stayed Ole Miss 7, Mississippi State 0.

What happened next

  1. Mississippi State's next game: L 10-24 vs Auburn, Dec 12

    14 days later
  2. Ole Miss's next game: L 48-53 at LSU, Dec 19

    21 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 28, 2020: Ole Miss 31, Mississippi State 21, Nov 25, 2021

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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