Regular season ·
Boston College beat Texas State
Records are after this game.
Boston College had a 6 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 24-21, September 26, 2020.
How the game turned
Q4 0:03 Boston College 24, Texas State 21
Boston College 100% to win
Boumerhi 36-yd field goal, Boston College wins it 24-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 3:44 · Boston College 0, Texas State 7Boston College's win chance fell from 83% to 79%.Hill 1-yd TD run, Texas State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 0:59 · Boston College 7, Texas State 14Boston College's win chance fell from 75% to 70%.McBride 6-yd TD pass to Barbee, Texas State goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q3 6:49 · Boston College 7, Texas State 21Boston College's win chance fell from 43% to 24%.McBride 9-yd TD pass to Barbee, Texas State leads 21-7
- 4Q4 1:11 · Boston College 21, Texas State 21Boston College's win chance rose from 22% to 53%.Jurkovec 5-yd TD pass to Long, ties it 21-21
- 5Q4 0:03 · Boston College 24, Texas State 21Boston College's win chance rose from 59% to 100%.Boumerhi 36-yd field goal, Boston College wins it 24-21
Boston College's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:03 left in the 4th quarter, Boston College's chance to win went from 59 percent to 99 percent when Boston College kicked a field goal.
The score went from Boston College 21, Texas State 21 to Boston College 24, Texas State 21.
The play: Boumerhi 36-yd field goal, Boston College wins it 24-21.
What happened next
Boston College's next game: L 22-26 vs North Carolina, Oct 3
7 days laterTexas State's next game: L 17-37 at Troy, Oct 10
14 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.