Regular season ·

San José State beat Air Force

Air Force1-16
San José State1-017Final
Sat, Oct 24 · CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, Calif. · 63°, mainly clearFS1

Records are after this game.

San José State beat Air Force by 11 points.

How the game turned

San José State aheadAir Force aheadBiggest swing

Q3 6:48 San José State 7, Air Force 0

San José State 62% to win

Starkel 7-yd TD pass to Deese, San José State goes ahead 7-0

Big moments

  1. 1Q3 6:48 · San José State 7, Air Force 0San José State's win chance rose from 45% to 62%.Starkel 7-yd TD pass to Deese, San José State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q4 5:18 · San José State 17, Air Force 6San José State's win chance rose from 83% to 93%.Mercurio 30-yd field goal, San José State leads 17-6

San José State's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 6:48 left in the 3rd quarter, San José State's chance to win went from 45 percent to 62 percent when San José State scored a touchdown.

The score went from San José State 0, Air Force 0 to San José State 7, Air Force 0.

The play: Starkel 7-yd TD pass to Deese, San José State goes ahead 7-0.

It was San José State's first win over Air Force since the 1997 season, after 3 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.

What happened next

  1. San José State's next game: W 38-21 at New Mexico, Oct 31

    7 days later
  2. Air Force's next game: L 30-49 vs Boise State, Oct 31

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 24, 2020: Air Force 45, San José State 20, Sep 22, 2023

    about 3 years later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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