MAC Championship ·
MAC Championship
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Ball State beat No. 23 Buffalo by 10 points, the MAC Championship.
Buffalo was No. 23 in the AP poll before the game; Ball State was not ranked.
It was played at a neutral site: Ford Field, Detroit, MI.
How the game turned
Q2 0:48 Ball State 35, Buffalo 21
Ball State 74% to win
Albright fumble return TD, Ball State leads 35-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:59 · Ball State 0, Buffalo 7Ball State's win chance fell from 16% to 13%.Patterson 3-yd TD run, Buffalo goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 3:41 · Ball State 7, Buffalo 14Ball State's win chance fell from 19% to 15%.Vantrease 24-yd TD pass to Wilson, Buffalo goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 7:31 · Ball State 14, Buffalo 21Ball State's win chance fell from 24% to 16%.Vantrease 1-yd TD run, Buffalo goes ahead 21-14
- 4Q2 1:30 · Ball State 28, Buffalo 21Ball State's win chance rose from 33% to 50%.Plitt 56-yd TD pass to McGaughy, Ball State goes ahead 28-21
- 5Q2 0:48 · Ball State 35, Buffalo 21Ball State's win chance rose from 54% to 74%.Albright fumble return TD, Ball State leads 35-21
Ball State's lowest chance to win was 7 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:48 left in the 2nd quarter, Ball State's chance to win went from 54 percent to 74 percent when Ball State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Ball State 28, Buffalo 21 to Ball State 35, Buffalo 21.
The play: Albright fumble return TD, Ball State leads 35-21.
What happened next
Buffalo's next game: W 17-10 vs Marshall in the Camellia Bowl, Dec 25
7 days laterBall State's next game: W 34-13 vs San José State in the Offerpad Arizona Bowl, Dec 31
13 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 18, 2020: Ball State 20, Buffalo 3, Nov 23, 2021
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.