Regular season ·
Central Michigan beat Eastern Michigan
Records are after this game.
Central Michigan had a 9 percent chance to win with 14:51 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 31-23, November 27, 2020.
How the game turned
Q4 4:34 Central Michigan 21, Eastern Michigan 23
Central Michigan 54% to win
Nichols 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 23-21
Big moments
- 1Q1 11:58 · Central Michigan 0, Eastern Michigan 7Central Michigan's win chance fell from 57% to 53%.Hutchinson 3-yd TD run, Eastern Michigan goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q4 14:02 · Central Michigan 14, Eastern Michigan 20Central Michigan's win chance rose from 9% to 24%.Nichols 9-yd TD run, two-point try good, cuts it to 20-14
- 3Q4 4:34 · Central Michigan 21, Eastern Michigan 23Central Michigan's win chance rose from 12% to 54%.Nichols 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 23-21
- 4Q4 2:31 · Central Michigan 24, Eastern Michigan 23Central Michigan's win chance rose from 38% to 58%.Meeder 21-yd field goal, Central Michigan goes ahead 24-23
Central Michigan's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 4:34 left in the 4th quarter, Central Michigan's chance to win went from 12 percent to 54 percent when Central Michigan scored a touchdown.
The score went from Central Michigan 14, Eastern Michigan 23 to Central Michigan 21, Eastern Michigan 23.
The play: Nichols 1-yd TD run, cuts it to 23-21.
What happened next
Central Michigan's next game: L 20-45 vs Ball State, Dec 5
8 days laterEastern Michigan's next game: W 53-42 at Western Michigan, Dec 5
8 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Nov 27, 2020: Central Michigan 31, Eastern Michigan 10, Nov 26, 2021
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.