Regular season ·
Ball State beat Western Michigan
Records are after this game.
Ball State had a 6 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 30-27, December 12, 2020.
How the game turned
Q4 0:29 Ball State 30, Western Michigan 27
Ball State 74% to win
Knight 22-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 30-27
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:50 · Ball State 0, Western Michigan 3Kapps 35-yd field goal, Western Michigan goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q1 2:19 · Ball State 6, Western Michigan 3Ball State's win chance rose from 42% to 49%.Evans 7-yd TD run, Ball State goes ahead 6-3
- 3Q2 6:45 · Ball State 6, Western Michigan 13Ball State's win chance fell from 42% to 28%.Eleby 24-yd TD pass to Eskridge, Western Michigan goes ahead 13-6
- 4Q2 0:27 · Ball State 13, Western Michigan 20Ball State's win chance fell from 39% to 26%.Eleby 5-yd TD pass to Hall, Western Michigan goes ahead 20-13
- 5Q4 12:30 · Ball State 27, Western Michigan 27Ball State's win chance rose from 28% to 47%.Plitt 55-yd TD pass to Hall, two-point try good, ties it 27-27
- 6Q4 0:29 · Ball State 30, Western Michigan 27Ball State's win chance rose from 61% to 74%.Knight 22-yd field goal, Ball State goes ahead 30-27
Ball State's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Ball State took the lead for good with 0:29 left in the 4th quarter, Ball State 30, Western Michigan 27.
What happened next
Ball State's next game: W 38-28 vs Buffalo, Dec 18
6 days laterWestern Michigan's first game of the 2021 season: L 14-47 at Michigan, Sep 4, 2021
about 9 months laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 12, 2020: Ball State 45, Western Michigan 20, Oct 9, 2021
about 10 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.