Regular season ·

Memphis beat Houston

Houston3-427
Memphis7-330Final
Sat, Dec 12 · Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tenn. · Crowd 9,475 · 57°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

Memphis beat Houston by 3 points.

How the game turned

Memphis aheadHouston aheadBiggest swingLow: 15%
12345

Q4 0:00 Memphis 30, Houston 27

Memphis 100% to win

Patterson 47-yd field goal, Memphis wins it 30-27

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:57 · Memphis 0, Houston 3Memphis's win chance fell from 29% to 24%.Witherspoon 28-yd field goal, Houston goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 8:14 · Memphis 3, Houston 6Memphis's win chance fell from 32% to 28%.Witherspoon 29-yd field goal, Houston goes ahead 6-3
  3. 3Q2 5:21 · Memphis 10, Houston 6Memphis's win chance rose from 35% to 46%.White 4-yd TD pass to Washington, Memphis goes ahead 10-6
  4. 4Q4 0:28 · Memphis 27, Houston 27Memphis's win chance fell from 85% to 70%.Tune 18-yd TD pass to Smith, ties it 27-27
  5. 5Q4 0:00 · Memphis 30, Houston 27Memphis's win chance rose from 81% to 100%.Patterson 47-yd field goal, Memphis wins it 30-27

Memphis's lowest chance to win was 15 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Memphis's chance to win went from 81 percent to 99 percent when Memphis kicked a field goal.

The score went from Memphis 27, Houston 27 to Memphis 30, Houston 27.

The play: Patterson 47-yd field goal, Memphis wins it 30-27.

What happened next

  1. Memphis's next game: W 25-10 vs Florida Atlantic in the Montgomery Bowl, Dec 23

    11 days later

  2. Houston's next game: L 14-28 vs Hawai'i in the New Mexico Bowl, Dec 24

    12 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Dec 12, 2020: Houston 31, Memphis 13, Nov 19, 2021

    about 11 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

Share: Post on X · Text it ·