American Athletic Championship ·
American Athletic Championship
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 6 Cincinnati beat No. 20 Tulsa by 3 points, the American Athletic Championship.
How the game turned
Q4 0:00 Cincinnati 27, Tulsa 24
Cincinnati 100% to win
Smith 34-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 27-24
Big moments
- 1Q1 8:56 · Cincinnati 7, Tulsa 0Cincinnati's win chance rose from 85% to 87%.Ford 42-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 3:17 · Cincinnati 17, Tulsa 10Cincinnati's win chance rose from 81% to 87%.Ridder 36-yd TD pass to Pierce, Cincinnati goes ahead 17-10
- 3Q3 7:14 · Cincinnati 24, Tulsa 17Cincinnati's win chance rose from 81% to 86%.Ridder 10-yd TD run, Cincinnati goes ahead 24-17
- 4Q4 3:41 · Cincinnati 24, Tulsa 24Cincinnati's win chance fell from 86% to 65%.Smith 13-yd TD pass to Santana, ties it 24-24
- 5Q4 0:00 · Cincinnati 27, Tulsa 24Cincinnati's win chance rose from 73% to 100%.Smith 34-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 27-24
Cincinnati was never below a 53 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 0:00 left in the 4th quarter, Cincinnati's chance to win went from 73 percent to 99 percent when Cincinnati kicked a field goal.
The score went from Cincinnati 24, Tulsa 24 to Cincinnati 27, Tulsa 24.
The play: Smith 34-yd field goal, Cincinnati wins it 27-24.
What happened next
Tulsa's next game: L 26-28 vs Mississippi State in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, Dec 31
12 days laterCincinnati's next game: L 21-24 vs Georgia in the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, Jan 1
13 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Dec 19, 2020: Cincinnati 28, Tulsa 20, Nov 6, 2021
about 11 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.