Outback Bowl ·

Outback Bowl

Outback Bowl
Ole Miss5-526
Indiana6-220Final
Sat, Jan 2 · Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla. (neutral site) · Crowd 11,025 · 74°, overcastABC

Records are after this game.

Ole Miss beat Indiana by 6 points, the Outback Bowl.

It was played at a neutral site: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL.

How the game turned

Ole Miss aheadIndiana aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%

Q4 4:12 Ole Miss 26, Indiana 20

Ole Miss 83% to win

Corral 3-yd TD pass to Drummond, Ole Miss goes ahead 26-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:56 · Ole Miss 3, Indiana 0Logan 26-yd field goal, Ole Miss goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q1 0:23 · Ole Miss 6, Indiana 3Logan 24-yd field goal, Ole Miss goes ahead 6-3
  3. 3Q2 7:17 · Ole Miss 13, Indiana 3Ole Miss's win chance rose from 46% to 65%.Corral 5-yd TD pass to Kelly, Ole Miss leads 13-3
  4. 4Q4 5:58 · Ole Miss 20, Indiana 20Ole Miss's win chance fell from 78% to 60%.Scott 2-yd TD run, ties it 20-20
  5. 5Q4 4:12 · Ole Miss 26, Indiana 20Ole Miss's win chance rose from 59% to 83%.Corral 3-yd TD pass to Drummond, Ole Miss goes ahead 26-20

Ole Miss's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 4:12 left in the 4th quarter, Ole Miss's chance to win went from 59 percent to 83 percent when Ole Miss scored a touchdown.

The score went from Ole Miss 20, Indiana 20 to Ole Miss 26, Indiana 20.

The play: Corral 3-yd TD pass to Drummond, Ole Miss goes ahead 26-20.

What happened next

  1. Ole Miss finished the 2020 season 5-5.

  2. Indiana finished the 2020 season 6-2.

  3. Indiana's first game of the 2021 season: L 6-34 at Iowa, Sep 4, 2021

    about 8 months later
  4. Ole Miss's first game of the 2021 season: W 43-24 vs Louisville, Sep 6, 2021

    about 8 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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