Regular season ·

Texas State beat Florida International

Texas State1-123
Florida International1-117Final
Sat, Sep 11 · Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, Fla. · 83°, overcastESPN+

Records are after this game.

Texas State beat Florida International by 6 points in overtime.

How the game turned

Texas State aheadFlorida International aheadBiggest swingLow: 14%

OT1 Texas State 23, Florida International 17

Texas State 100% to win

Sturges 11-yd TD run

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:14 · Texas State 7, Florida International 0McBride 17-yd TD pass to Twyford, Texas State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:06 · Texas State 10, Florida International 7Texas State's win chance fell from 76% to 59%.Bortenschlager 22-yd TD pass to Chambers, cuts it to 10-7
  3. 3Q3 13:04 · Texas State 10, Florida International 14Texas State's win chance fell from 49% to 48%.Bortenschlager 34-yd TD pass to Fairweather, Florida International goes ahead 14-10
  4. 4Q4 10:09 · Texas State 17, Florida International 17Texas State's win chance rose from 18% to 55%.Sturges 1-yd TD run, ties it 17-17
  5. 5OT1 · Texas State 23, Florida International 17Texas State's win chance rose from 52% to 100%.Sturges 11-yd TD run

Texas State's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

In overtime, Texas State's chance to win went from 52 percent to 99 percent when Texas State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Texas State 17, Florida International 17 to Texas State 23, Florida International 17.

The play: Sturges 11-yd TD run.

What happened next

  1. Texas State's next game: L 34-42 vs Incarnate Word, Sep 18

    7 days later
  2. Florida International's next game: L 21-54 at Texas Tech, Sep 18

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Sep 11, 2021: Texas State 41, Florida International 12, Sep 10, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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