Regular season ·

North Texas beat UTEP

UTEP6-417
North Texas4-620Final
Sat, Nov 13 · Apogee Stadium, Denton, Texas · Crowd 20,056 · 61°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

North Texas beat UTEP by 3 points.

How the game turned

North Texas aheadUTEP aheadBiggest swingLow: 24%

Q4 0:07 North Texas 20, UTEP 17

North Texas 100% to win

Mooney 27-yd field goal, North Texas wins it 20-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 13:01 · North Texas 0, UTEP 7North Texas's win chance fell from 48% to 33%.Hardison 76-yd TD pass to Cowing, UTEP goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 11:22 · North Texas 10, UTEP 7North Texas's win chance rose from 46% to 58%.Aune 1-yd TD run, North Texas goes ahead 10-7
  3. 3Q4 4:26 · North Texas 17, UTEP 14North Texas's win chance fell from 90% to 71%.Awatt 4-yd TD run, cuts it to 17-14
  4. 4Q4 0:55 · North Texas 17, UTEP 17North Texas's win chance fell from 51% to 48%.Baechle 37-yd field goal, ties it 17-17
  5. 5Q4 0:07 · North Texas 20, UTEP 17North Texas's win chance rose from 54% to 100%.Mooney 27-yd field goal, North Texas wins it 20-17

North Texas's lowest chance to win was 24 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:07 left in the 4th quarter, North Texas's chance to win went from 54 percent to 99 percent when North Texas kicked a field goal.

The score went from North Texas 17, UTEP 17 to North Texas 20, UTEP 17.

The play: Mooney 27-yd field goal, North Texas wins it 20-17.

What happened next

  1. North Texas's next game: W 49-7 at Florida International, Nov 20

    7 days later
  2. UTEP's next game: W 38-28 vs Rice, Nov 20

    7 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 13, 2021: North Texas 31, UTEP 13, Aug 27, 2022

    about 9 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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