Regular season ·
Virginia beat Louisville
Records are after this game.
Virginia trailed Louisville by 17 points in the 3rd quarter and won 34-33, October 9, 2021.
How the game turned
Q4 0:22 Virginia 34, Louisville 33
Virginia 37% to win
Armstrong 1-yd TD pass to Misch
Big moments
- 1Q1 12:33 · Virginia 7, Louisville 0Virginia's win chance rose from 49% to 52%.Armstrong 14-yd TD pass to Kemp, Virginia goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q1 4:02 · Virginia 10, Louisville 7Farrell 25-yd field goal, Virginia goes ahead 10-7
- 3Q2 11:37 · Virginia 13, Louisville 10Virginia's win chance rose from 50% to 54%.Farrell 22-yd field goal, Virginia goes ahead 13-10
- 4Q3 12:47 · Virginia 13, Louisville 17Virginia's win chance fell from 58% to 38%.Hall 52-yd TD run, Louisville goes ahead 17-13
Virginia's lowest chance to win was 3 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Virginia took the lead for good with 0:22 left in the 4th quarter, Virginia 34, Louisville 33.
What happened next
Virginia's next game: W 48-0 vs Duke, Oct 16
7 days laterLouisville's next game: W 28-14 vs Boston College, Oct 23
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 9, 2021: Louisville 34, Virginia 17, Oct 8, 2022
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.