Regular season ·

Iowa beat Penn State

No. 4 Penn State5-120
No. 3 Iowa6-023Final
Sat, Oct 9 · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Iowa · Crowd 69,250 · 81°, overcastFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 3 Iowa beat No. 4 Penn State by 3 points.

How the game turned

Iowa aheadPenn State aheadLow: 12%
123

Q4 6:26 Iowa 23, Penn State 20

Iowa 68% to win

Petras 44-yd TD pass to Ragaini, Iowa goes ahead 23-20

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:37 · Iowa 3, Penn State 7Iowa's win chance fell from 52% to 45%.Cain 2-yd TD run, Penn State goes ahead 7-3
  2. 2Q1 3:21 · Iowa 3, Penn State 14Iowa's win chance fell from 40% to 27%.Clifford 4-yd TD run, Penn State leads 14-3
  3. 3Q4 6:26 · Iowa 23, Penn State 20Iowa's win chance rose from 54% to 68%.Petras 44-yd TD pass to Ragaini, Iowa goes ahead 23-20

Iowa's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Iowa took the lead for good with 6:26 left in the 4th quarter, Iowa 23, Penn State 20.

What happened next

  1. Iowa's next game: L 7-24 vs Purdue, Oct 16

    7 days later

  2. Penn State's next game: L 18-20 vs Illinois, Oct 23

    14 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 9, 2021: Penn State 31, Iowa 0, Sep 23, 2023

    about 23 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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