Regular season ·
Michigan beat Ohio State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 6 Michigan beat No. 2 Ohio State by 15 points.
How the game turned
Q3 11:50 Michigan 21, Ohio State 13
Michigan 62% to win
Haskins 13-yd TD run, Michigan leads 21-13
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:12 · Michigan 7, Ohio State 0Michigan's win chance rose from 46% to 52%.Henning 14-yd TD run
- 2Q2 9:12 · Michigan 7, Ohio State 10Michigan's win chance fell from 44% to 31%.Stroud 25-yd TD pass to Wilson
- 3Q2 3:51 · Michigan 14, Ohio State 10Michigan's win chance rose from 37% to 43%.Haskins 1-yd TD run, Michigan goes ahead 14-10
- 4Q3 11:50 · Michigan 21, Ohio State 13Michigan's win chance rose from 43% to 62%.Haskins 13-yd TD run, Michigan leads 21-13
- 5Q4 9:14 · Michigan 35, Ohio State 20Michigan's win chance rose from 79% to 96%.Haskins 2-yd TD run, Michigan leads 35-20
Michigan's lowest chance to win was 26 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 11:50 left in the 3rd quarter, Michigan's chance to win went from 43 percent to 62 percent when Michigan scored a touchdown.
The score went from Michigan 14, Ohio State 13 to Michigan 21, Ohio State 13.
The play: Haskins 13-yd TD run, Michigan leads 21-13.
It was Michigan's first win over Ohio State since the 2011 season, after 8 straight losses in the series, counted since 1970 in our games data.
What happened next
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.