Regular season ·

Michigan beat Ohio State

No. 3 Michigan12-045
No. 2 Ohio State11-123Final
Sat, Nov 26 · Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio · Crowd 106,787 · 54°, clearFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 3 Michigan beat No. 2 Ohio State by 22 points.

How the game turned

Michigan aheadOhio State aheadBiggest swingLow: 9%
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Q4 13:10 Michigan 31, Ohio State 20

Michigan 90% to win

McCarthy 3-yd TD run

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 10:02 · Michigan 0, Ohio State 7Michigan's win chance fell from 20% to 18%.Stroud 4-yd TD pass to Egbuka
  2. 2Q2 5:36 · Michigan 10, Ohio State 13Ruggles 47-yd field goal, Ohio State goes ahead 13-10
  3. 3Q2 5:24 · Michigan 17, Ohio State 13Michigan's win chance rose from 24% to 46%.McCarthy 75-yd TD pass to Johnson
  4. 4Q2 3:49 · Michigan 17, Ohio State 20Michigan's win chance fell from 43% to 26%.Stroud 42-yd TD pass to Harrison
  5. 5Q3 11:56 · Michigan 24, Ohio State 20Michigan's win chance rose from 28% to 48%.McCarthy 45-yd TD pass to Loveland

Michigan's lowest chance to win was 9 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 13:10 left in the 4th quarter, Michigan's chance to win went from 65 percent to 90 percent when Michigan scored a touchdown.

The score went from Michigan 24, Ohio State 20 to Michigan 31, Ohio State 20.

What happened next

  1. Michigan's next game: W 43-22 vs Purdue, Dec 3

    7 days later

  2. Ohio State's next game: L 41-42 vs Georgia in the CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, Dec 31

    35 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 26, 2022: Michigan 30, Ohio State 24, Nov 25, 2023

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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