CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl ·

CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
No. 4 Ohio State11-241
No. 1 Georgia14-042Final
Sat, Dec 31 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Ga. (neutral site) · Crowd 79,330 · IndoorsESPN

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Georgia had a 6 percent chance to win with 11:08 left in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 42-41, the CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, December 31, 2022.

Georgia was No. 1 and Ohio State No. 4 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

How the game turned

Georgia aheadOhio State aheadLow: 6%

Q4 0:54 Georgia 42, Ohio State 41

Georgia 49% to win

Bennett 10-yd TD pass to Mitchell, Georgia goes ahead 42-41

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 8:16 · Georgia 0, Ohio State 7Georgia's win chance fell from 53% to 44%.Stroud 31-yd TD pass to Harrison
  2. 2Q2 12:30 · Georgia 7, Ohio State 14Georgia's win chance fell from 62% to 37%.Williams 2-yd TD run, Ohio State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q2 1:44 · Georgia 24, Ohio State 21Podlesny 32-yd field goal, Georgia goes ahead 24-21
  4. 4Q2 0:49 · Georgia 24, Ohio State 28Georgia's win chance fell from 67% to 57%.Stroud 37-yd TD pass to Johnson
  5. 5Q4 0:54 · Georgia 42, Ohio State 41Georgia's win chance rose from 28% to 49%.Bennett 10-yd TD pass to Mitchell, Georgia goes ahead 42-41

Georgia's lowest chance to win was 6 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

Georgia took the lead for good with 0:54 left in the 4th quarter, Georgia 42, Ohio State 41.

What happened next

  1. Ohio State finished the 2022 season 11-2, No. 4 in the last AP poll before the bowls.

  2. Georgia's next game: W 65-7 vs TCU in the CFP National Championship, Jan 9

    9 days later
  3. Ohio State's first game of the 2023 season: W 23-3 at Indiana, Sep 2, 2023

    about 8 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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