Regular season ·
Michigan State beat Nebraska
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Michigan State had a 2 percent chance to win in the 4th quarter, by our win chance curve, and won 23-20 in overtime, September 25, 2021.
How the game turned
OT1 Michigan State 23, Nebraska 20
Michigan State 100% to win
Coghlin 21-yd field goal, Michigan State wins it 23-20
Big moments
- 1Q2 14:08 · Michigan State 7, Nebraska 0Thorne 35-yd TD pass to Reed, Michigan State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 1:03 · Michigan State 13, Nebraska 10Coghlin 27-yd field goal, Michigan State goes ahead 13-10
- 3Q4 7:29 · Michigan State 13, Nebraska 20Michigan State's win chance fell from 18% to 5%.Martinez 3-yd TD run, Nebraska goes ahead 20-13
- 4Q4 3:47 · Michigan State 20, Nebraska 20Michigan State's win chance rose from 2% to 9%.Reed return TD, ties it 20-20
- 5OT1 · Michigan State 23, Nebraska 20Michigan State's win chance rose from 39% to 100%.Coghlin 21-yd field goal, Michigan State wins it 23-20
Michigan State's lowest chance to win was 2 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In overtime, Michigan State's chance to win went from 39 percent to 99 percent when Michigan State kicked a field goal.
The score went from Michigan State 20, Nebraska 20 to Michigan State 23, Nebraska 20.
The play: Coghlin 21-yd field goal, Michigan State wins it 23-20.
What happened next
Michigan State's next game: W 48-31 vs Western Kentucky, Oct 2
7 days laterNebraska's next game: W 56-7 vs Northwestern, Oct 2
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 25, 2021: Michigan State 20, Nebraska 17, Nov 4, 2023
about 2 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.