Regular season ·

Minnesota beat Wisconsin

No. 18 Wisconsin8-413
Minnesota8-423Final
Sat, Nov 27 · Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minn. · Crowd 49,736 · 39°, clearFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Minnesota beat No. 18 Wisconsin by 10 points.

Wisconsin was No. 18 in the AP poll before the game; Minnesota was not ranked.

How the game turned

Minnesota aheadWisconsin aheadBiggest swingLow: 14%

Q3 1:56 Minnesota 20, Wisconsin 13

Minnesota 72% to win

Morgan 27-yd TD pass to Autman-Bell, Minnesota goes ahead 20-13

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 7:29 · Minnesota 3, Wisconsin 0Minnesota's win chance rose from 39% to 41%.Trickett 28-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q2 12:22 · Minnesota 3, Wisconsin 10Minnesota's win chance fell from 35% to 20%.Nelson interception return TD, Wisconsin goes ahead 10-3
  3. 3Q3 13:24 · Minnesota 13, Wisconsin 10Minnesota's win chance rose from 33% to 43%.Thomas 2-yd TD run, Minnesota goes ahead 13-10
  4. 4Q3 1:56 · Minnesota 20, Wisconsin 13Minnesota's win chance rose from 50% to 72%.Morgan 27-yd TD pass to Autman-Bell, Minnesota goes ahead 20-13

Minnesota's lowest chance to win was 14 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 1:56 left in the 3rd quarter, Minnesota's chance to win went from 50 percent to 72 percent when Minnesota scored a touchdown.

The score went from Minnesota 13, Wisconsin 13 to Minnesota 20, Wisconsin 13.

The play: Morgan 27-yd TD pass to Autman-Bell, Minnesota goes ahead 20-13.

What happened next

  1. Minnesota's next game: W 18-6 vs West Virginia in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl, Dec 28

    31 days later
  2. Wisconsin's next game: W 20-13 vs Arizona State in the Srs Distribution Las Vegas Bowl, Dec 30

    33 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Nov 27, 2021: Minnesota 23, Wisconsin 16, Nov 26, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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