Regular season ·
Oregon beat Ohio State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
No. 12 Oregon beat No. 3 Ohio State by 7 points.
How the game turned
Q3 13:38 Oregon 21, Ohio State 7
Oregon 77% to win
Verdell 77-yd TD run, Oregon leads 21-7
Big moments
- 1Q2 14:27 · Oregon 7, Ohio State 0Oregon's win chance rose from 28% to 36%.Verdell 14-yd TD run, Oregon goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 4:51 · Oregon 14, Ohio State 7Oregon's win chance rose from 32% to 36%.Brown 14-yd TD pass to Verdell, Oregon goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 2:32 · Oregon 14, Ohio State 7Oregon's win chance rose from 33% to 54%.Williams run for no gain, turnover on downs
- 4Q3 13:38 · Oregon 21, Ohio State 7Oregon's win chance rose from 48% to 77%.Verdell 77-yd TD run, Oregon leads 21-7
- 5Q4 10:10 · Oregon 35, Ohio State 21Oregon's win chance rose from 73% to 94%.Brown 14-yd TD pass to Matavao, Oregon leads 35-21
Oregon's lowest chance to win was 12 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 13:38 left in the 3rd quarter, Oregon's chance to win went from 48 percent to 77 percent when Oregon scored a touchdown.
The score went from Oregon 14, Ohio State 7 to Oregon 21, Ohio State 7.
The play: Verdell 77-yd TD run, Oregon leads 21-7.
It was Oregon's first win over Ohio State since 1970 in our games data, after 4 straight losses in the series.
What happened next
Oregon went from No. 12 to No. 4 in the next AP poll.
Oregon's next game: W 48-7 vs Stony Brook, Sep 18
7 days laterOhio State's next game: W 41-20 vs Tulsa, Sep 18
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 11, 2021: Oregon 32, Ohio State 31, Oct 12, 2024
about 3 years later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.