Regular season ·

UL Monroe beat Liberty

Liberty5-228
UL Monroe3-331Final
Sat, Oct 16 · Malone Stadium, Monroe, La. · Crowd 11,546 · 68°, clearESPN+

Records are after this game.

UL Monroe beat Liberty by 3 points.

How the game turned

UL Monroe aheadLiberty aheadLow: 1%

Q3 6:37 UL Monroe 21, Liberty 14

UL Monroe 29% to win

Henry 40-yd TD run, UL Monroe goes ahead 21-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 5:11 · UL Monroe 0, Liberty 7UL Monroe's win chance fell from 6% to 3%.Willis 3-yd TD run, Liberty goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 6:37 · UL Monroe 21, Liberty 14UL Monroe's win chance rose from 9% to 29%.Henry 40-yd TD run, UL Monroe goes ahead 21-14
  3. 3Q3 1:22 · UL Monroe 28, Liberty 14UL Monroe's win chance rose from 43% to 66%.Rogers 14-yd TD pass to Rasmussen, UL Monroe leads 28-14
  4. 4Q4 7:49 · UL Monroe 28, Liberty 28UL Monroe's win chance fell from 56% to 21%.Willis 53-yd TD run, ties it 28-28
  5. 5Q4 1:44 · UL Monroe 31, Liberty 28UL Monroe's win chance rose from 48% to 53%.Sutherland 53-yd field goal, UL Monroe goes ahead 31-28

UL Monroe's lowest chance to win was 1 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

How the lead changed

UL Monroe took the lead for good with 1:44 left in the 4th quarter, UL Monroe 31, Liberty 28.

What happened next

  1. UL Monroe's next game: W 41-31 vs South Alabama, Oct 23

    7 days later
  2. Liberty's next game: W 35-26 at North Texas, Oct 23

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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