Regular season ·

Louisiana beat Liberty

No. 22 Louisiana10-142
Liberty7-414Final
Sat, Nov 20 · Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, Va. · Crowd 15,564 · 45°, overcastESPNU

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 22 Louisiana beat Liberty by 28 points.

How the game turned

Louisiana aheadLiberty aheadBiggest swingLow: 28%

Q3 7:44 Louisiana 28, Liberty 14

Louisiana 91% to win

Johnson 2-yd TD run, Louisiana leads 28-14

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 1:57 · Louisiana 7, Liberty 0Louisiana's win chance rose from 59% to 65%.Lewis 4-yd TD pass to Stephens, Louisiana goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q3 7:44 · Louisiana 28, Liberty 14Louisiana's win chance rose from 65% to 91%.Johnson 2-yd TD run, Louisiana leads 28-14

Louisiana's lowest chance to win was 28 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 7:44 left in the 3rd quarter, Louisiana's chance to win went from 65 percent to 91 percent when Louisiana scored a touchdown.

The score went from Louisiana 21, Liberty 14 to Louisiana 28, Liberty 14.

The play: Johnson 2-yd TD run, Louisiana leads 28-14.

What happened next

  1. Louisiana's next game: W 21-16 vs UL Monroe, Nov 27

    7 days later
  2. Liberty's next game: L 16-31 vs Army, Nov 27

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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