Regular season ·
Baylor beat Iowa State
Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.
Baylor beat No. 14 Iowa State by 2 points.
Iowa State was No. 14 in the AP poll before the game; Baylor was not ranked.
How the game turned
Q3 (no clock) Baylor 28, Iowa State 16
Baylor 87% to win
Ebner kickoff return TD, Baylor leads 28-16
Big moments
- 1Q1 9:26 · Baylor 0, Iowa State 7Baylor's win chance fell from 25% to 19%.Hall 2-yd TD run, Iowa State goes ahead 7-0
- 2Q2 14:53 · Baylor 14, Iowa State 7Baylor's win chance rose from 41% to 48%.Bohanon 21-yd TD pass to Thornton, Baylor goes ahead 14-7
- 3Q2 5:37 · Baylor 21, Iowa State 10Baylor's win chance rose from 47% to 64%.Bohanon 33-yd TD pass to Sims, Baylor leads 21-10
- 4Q3 (no clock) · Baylor 28, Iowa State 16Baylor's win chance rose from 63% to 87%.Ebner kickoff return TD, Baylor leads 28-16
- 5Q3 0:39 · Baylor 28, Iowa State 23Baylor's win chance fell from 87% to 66%.Hall 2-yd TD run, cuts it to 28-23
Baylor's lowest chance to win was 19 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
In the 3rd quarter, Baylor's chance to win went from 63 percent to 87 percent when Baylor scored a touchdown.
The score went from Baylor 21, Iowa State 16 to Baylor 28, Iowa State 16.
The play: Ebner kickoff return TD, Baylor leads 28-16.
What happened next
Iowa State was No. 14 before the game and out of the next AP poll.
Baylor's next game: L 14-24 at Oklahoma State, Oct 2
7 days laterIowa State's next game: W 59-7 vs Kansas, Oct 2
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 25, 2021: Baylor 31, Iowa State 24, Sep 24, 2022
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.