Regular season ·

Iowa State beat Oklahoma State

No. 8 Oklahoma State6-121
Iowa State5-224Final
Sat, Oct 23 · Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa · Crowd 61,500 · 53°, partly cloudyFOX

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

Iowa State beat No. 8 Oklahoma State by 3 points.

Oklahoma State was No. 8 in the AP poll before the game; Iowa State was not ranked.

How the game turned

Iowa State aheadOklahoma State aheadBiggest swing
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Q4 8:36 Iowa State 17, Oklahoma State 21

Iowa State 28% to win

Sanders 25-yd TD pass to Martin, Oklahoma State goes ahead 21-17

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 5:55 · Iowa State 0, Oklahoma State 7Iowa State's win chance fell from 57% to 47%.Sanders 5-yd TD pass to Presley, Oklahoma State goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 0:59 · Iowa State 7, Oklahoma State 14Iowa State's win chance fell from 48% to 41%.Sanders 42-yd TD pass to Presley, Oklahoma State goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 2:41 · Iowa State 17, Oklahoma State 14Iowa State's win chance rose from 68% to 69%.Mevis 29-yd field goal, Iowa State goes ahead 17-14
  4. 4Q4 8:36 · Iowa State 17, Oklahoma State 21Iowa State's win chance fell from 68% to 28%.Sanders 25-yd TD pass to Martin, Oklahoma State goes ahead 21-17
  5. 5Q4 5:29 · Iowa State 24, Oklahoma State 21Iowa State's win chance rose from 47% to 66%.Hall 4-yd TD run, Iowa State goes ahead 24-21

Iowa State's lowest chance to win was 23 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 8:36 left in the 4th quarter, Oklahoma State's chance to win went from 32 percent to 72 percent when Oklahoma State scored a touchdown.

The score went from Iowa State 17, Oklahoma State 14 to Iowa State 17, Oklahoma State 21.

The play: Sanders 25-yd TD pass to Martin, Oklahoma State goes ahead 21-17.

What happened next

  1. Iowa State's next game: L 31-38 at West Virginia, Oct 30

    7 days later

  2. Oklahoma State's next game: W 55-3 vs Kansas, Oct 30

    7 days later

  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 23, 2021: Oklahoma State 20, Iowa State 14, Nov 12, 2022

    about 13 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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