Regular season ·
Air Force beat Navy
Records are after this game.
Air Force beat Navy by 20 points.
How the game turned
Q2 1:09 Air Force 7, Navy 3
Air Force 76% to win
Roberts 3-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 7-3
Big moments
- 1Q2 10:36 · Air Force 0, Navy 3Nichols 23-yd field goal, Navy goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 1:09 · Air Force 7, Navy 3Air Force's win chance rose from 57% to 76%.Roberts 3-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 7-3
- 3Q3 0:32 · Air Force 14, Navy 3Air Force's win chance rose from 79% to 92%.Daniels 28-yd TD run, Air Force leads 14-3
Air Force was never below a 52 percent chance to win. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 1:09 left in the 2nd quarter, Air Force's chance to win went from 57 percent to 75 percent when Air Force scored a touchdown.
The score went from Air Force 0, Navy 3 to Air Force 7, Navy 3.
The play: Roberts 3-yd TD run, Air Force goes ahead 7-3.
What happened next
Air Force's next game: L 45-49 vs Utah State, Sep 18
7 days laterNavy's next game: L 20-28 at Houston, Sep 25
14 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Sep 11, 2021: Air Force 13, Navy 10, Oct 1, 2022
about 13 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.