Regular season ·

UCF beat East Carolina

East Carolina3-316
UCF3-220Final
Sat, Oct 9 · Crowd 41,649 · 76°, light drizzleESPN+

Records are after this game.

UCF beat East Carolina by 4 points.

How the game turned

UCF aheadEast Carolina aheadBiggest swing

Q4 0:23 UCF 20, East Carolina 16

UCF 76% to win

Richards 1-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 20-16

Big moments

  1. 1Q2 14:57 · UCF 3, East Carolina 0Obarski 35-yd field goal, UCF goes ahead 3-0
  2. 2Q3 10:34 · UCF 3, East Carolina 6Daffer 23-yd field goal, East Carolina goes ahead 6-3
  3. 3Q3 7:59 · UCF 10, East Carolina 6UCF's win chance rose from 62% to 74%.Richardson 4-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 10-6
  4. 4Q3 2:43 · UCF 10, East Carolina 13UCF's win chance fell from 75% to 50%.Ahlers 27-yd TD pass to Omotosho, East Carolina goes ahead 13-10
  5. 5Q4 0:23 · UCF 20, East Carolina 16UCF's win chance rose from 41% to 76%.Richards 1-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 20-16

UCF's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 0:23 left in the 4th quarter, UCF's chance to win went from 41 percent to 76 percent when UCF scored a touchdown.

The score went from UCF 13, East Carolina 16 to UCF 20, East Carolina 16.

The play: Richards 1-yd TD run, UCF goes ahead 20-16.

What happened next

  1. UCF's next game: L 21-56 at Cincinnati, Oct 16

    7 days later
  2. East Carolina's next game: L 24-31 at Houston, Oct 23

    14 days later
  3. The teams' next meeting after Oct 9, 2021: East Carolina 34, UCF 13, Oct 22, 2022

    about 12 months later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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