Regular season ·
Colorado State beat Toledo
Records are after this game.
Colorado State beat Toledo by 16 points.
How the game turned
Q3 3:03 Colorado State 13, Toledo 6
Colorado State 64% to win
Pannunzio return TD, Colorado State goes ahead 13-6
Big moments
- 1Q1 5:15 · Colorado State 3, Toledo 0Camper 31-yd field goal, Colorado State goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q3 (no clock) · Colorado State 3, Toledo 3Colorado State's win chance rose from 23% to 36%.Bradley incomplete to Winstead, turnover on downs
- 3Q3 8:30 · Colorado State 6, Toledo 3Camper 42-yd field goal, Colorado State goes ahead 6-3
- 4Q3 3:03 · Colorado State 13, Toledo 6Colorado State's win chance rose from 35% to 64%.Pannunzio return TD, Colorado State goes ahead 13-6
- 5Q4 (no clock) · Colorado State 13, Toledo 6Colorado State's win chance fell from 73% to 61%.Bailey run for no gain, turnover on downs
Colorado State's lowest chance to win was 11 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
The biggest swing
With 3:03 left in the 3rd quarter, Colorado State's chance to win went from 35 percent to 64 percent when Colorado State scored a touchdown.
The score went from Colorado State 6, Toledo 6 to Colorado State 13, Toledo 6.
The play: Pannunzio return TD, Colorado State goes ahead 13-6.
What happened next
Colorado State's next game: L 14-24 at Iowa, Sep 25
7 days laterToledo's next game: W 22-12 at Ball State, Sep 25
7 days later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.