Regular season ·
Northern Illinois beat Toledo
Records are after this game.
Northern Illinois beat Toledo by 2 points.
How the game turned
Q4 0:26 Northern Illinois 22, Toledo 20
Northern Illinois 64% to win
Richardson 29-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 22-20
Big moments
- 1Q1 10:33 · Northern Illinois 3, Toledo 0Richardson 43-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 3-0
- 2Q2 4:55 · Northern Illinois 6, Toledo 7Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 41% to 32%.Koback 40-yd TD run, Toledo goes ahead 7-6
- 3Q2 2:45 · Northern Illinois 9, Toledo 7Richardson 43-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 9-7
- 4Q2 2:25 · Northern Illinois 9, Toledo 14Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 27% to 21%.Finn 75-yd TD pass to Koback, Toledo goes ahead 14-9
- 5Q2 0:36 · Northern Illinois 16, Toledo 14Brown 37-yd TD run, Northern Illinois goes ahead 16-14
- 6Q4 3:35 · Northern Illinois 19, Toledo 20Northern Illinois's win chance fell from 78% to 45%.Finn 11-yd TD pass to Maddox, two-point try fails, Toledo goes ahead 20-19
- 7Q4 0:26 · Northern Illinois 22, Toledo 20Northern Illinois's win chance rose from 62% to 64%.Richardson 29-yd field goal, Northern Illinois goes ahead 22-20
Northern Illinois's lowest chance to win was 17 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.
How the lead changed
Northern Illinois took the lead for good with 0:26 left in the 4th quarter, Northern Illinois 22, Toledo 20.
What happened next
Northern Illinois's next game: W 34-26 vs Bowling Green, Oct 16
7 days laterToledo's next game: L 23-26 at Central Michigan, Oct 16
7 days laterThe teams' next meeting after Oct 9, 2021: Toledo 52, Northern Illinois 32, Oct 8, 2022
about 12 months later
Related pages
Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.